STATISTICAL METHODS
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING ACROSS 400 PLUS PARLIAMENTARY SEATS IN 2024
OUR STATISTICAL METHODS
WE USE NUMBER OF METHODS DEPENDING UPON THE DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURE OF THE ASSEMBLY
Opinion Polls- SMART SURVEY
We conduct this before the election to gauge public opinion about candidates, parties, and issues..
Regression Analysis
We identify relationships between various factors (demographics, socioeconomic indicators, etc.) and voting behavior. These models are used to predict how changes in these factors might influence election outcomes.
Cluster Analysis
We group similar polling booths or constituencies together based on voting patterns and demographics. This reveal regional trends and help tailor campaign strategies accordingly.
Time Series Analysis
We analyze how voting patterns change over time, considering factors such as campaign events, debates, and media coverage. These analyses help track momentum shifts in support for candidates or parties.
Geospatial Analysis:
We use Geographic information system (GIS) tools to analyze spatial data to identify voting patterns across different regions. Geospatial analysis helps understand regional disparities and demographic influences.
Monte Carlo Simulations
We use this simulation to model various scenarios and outcomes using random sampling techniques. They can be used to understand the range of possible election outcomes based on different assumptions.
Contingency Tables and Chi-Square Tests
We use this to analyze relationships between categorical variables, such as voting preferences and demographic characteristics. These tests help assess whether certain demographics are more likely to vote for specific candidates or parties.
Bayesian Analysis & GPS Systems
We use to combine prior information with new data to update predictions about election outcomes as new information becomes available.
We use latest GPS system to analyze real time Voting percentage during polling day to alert polling agents towards further actions.
Address
Plaza, 3rd Floor , Manish Link Road, Plot No.9, Sector 5, Dwarka
New Delhi-110075
IN